It’s time for Democrats and Republicans alike to prepare for the possibility, no, the probability that Donald Trump won’t be the Republican nominee in 2020. Trump has attempted to brush aside all the investigations into how he got elected, ties to Russia financial and otherwise, and the illegal ways he operated his business and alleged charity. Ironically, the thing that will do him in, is the thing that helped him win in the first place, television.
We’ve reached the stage where Michael Cohen’s public appearance before the House Oversight Committee signals the beginning of Trump’s end. Although we did learn a few new things, like seeing a few years of Trump’s financial records and proof he committed crimes while in the White House. Most of what we witnessed was already known. The important thing was the widespread coverage on television, and it’s only the beginning.
In addition to reaching millions of voters that previously weren’t paying close attention. Each new televised hearing will spawn more investigations by the Justice Department and Attorneys General from the states, and of course, the media will continue investigating him relentlessly. Already, Rachel Maddow’s team has reviewed his financial statements and found evidence of bank fraud by overvaluing one of his properties by approximately 1,000% in order to secure a loan from Deutsche Bank.
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez skilled questioning produced a trail of witnesses to Trump’s crimes and established the need to acquire the entirety of his financial records which Trump has kept us from seeing against existing protocol. Allen Weisselberg, the CFO of The Trump Organization has already been subpoenaed by the House of Representatives as a result of Cohen’s testimony. Elijah Cummings, Chairman of the House Oversight Committee, has promised to follow the trail of witnesses established in the Cohen hearing. All the hearings won’t be televised, but enough will, and they will continue to put pressure on the President.
Along with the continuous coverage of the Presidents crimes, conspiracies, and lies. His polling will go down as the ratings go up. You’ll know the Republican Party has given up on Trump when you see a sudden rush of Primary challengers for the Republican nomination. When the fear of Trump’s base gives way to the widespread recognition, not that he’s a criminal which is more or less a given. But that he can’t win, and he’s bringing the whole party down with him. There’s always the possibility that resignation will be part of a deal to avoid his prosecution and/or members of his family?
Rest assured, potential Republican challengers are making secret plans to be the literal white knight to rescue the Party from the chaos that is Trump. Presenting themselves as the rational alternative to the man circling the political drain. It’s the Democrats who must have a strategy besides running against Donald J. Trump. What if the only message they have is, “Trump is bad,” and it turns out he isn’t on the ballot?
At the moment, enough Republicans have tied themselves to the Trump anchor that it’s hard to see a Republican victory. But it’s a long time between now and the election in November of 2020. Democrats need to have a plan for a different Nominee, I think it’s what we’re likely to get.